TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.5b

24H VOL:

$202,688,956

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,692,829,820

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,734,437,429

480,371

Markets across

36,315

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,915

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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BTC price on Oct 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$84,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$84,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$84,500 or above

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203,328
N/A
N/A
$74,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,000 or above

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,502
N/A
N/A
$40,694
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,500 or above

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,372
N/A
N/A
$53,666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,250 or above

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,314
N/A
N/A
$29,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,750 or above

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,234
N/A
N/A
$27,290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,250 or above

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,672
N/A
N/A
$17,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,761
N/A
N/A
$27,596
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,076
N/A
N/A
$14,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,750 or above

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,741
N/A
N/A
$4,619
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,978
N/A
N/A
$3,910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,250 or above

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,465
N/A
N/A
$1,423
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,750 or above

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$715,300
N/A
N/A
$118,785
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 or above

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$560,840
N/A
N/A
$180,607
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,250 or above

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170,021
N/A
N/A
$89,419
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,500 or above

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99,318
N/A
N/A
$63,933
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,000 or above

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,038
N/A
N/A
$25,891
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,750 or above

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,090
N/A
N/A
$22,736
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,250 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,578
N/A
N/A
$16,390
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,500 or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,317
N/A
N/A
$12,297
Settled
No
kalshi

$86,750 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,075
N/A
N/A
$9,032
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,000 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,909
N/A
N/A
$3,481
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,250 or above

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,139
N/A
N/A
$2,027
Settled
No
kalshi

$88,000 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$979
Settled
No
kalshi

$87,500 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This set of markets determines whether Bitcoin's price exceeds various thresholds at a specific future moment, using a standardized benchmark for accuracy. Each threshold represents a different price level that must be surpassed for the corresponding market to settle positively. The evaluation relies on a precise, averaged measurement taken just before the defined time to ensure consistency.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution methodology centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, the outcome depends on whether the simple average of the sixty-second readings of the BRTI immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 3, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The exact threshold varies per market, incrementing in $250 steps from $76,000 upwards. The final price determination involves collecting 60 individual BRTI prices during the final minute before expiration, then calculating their arithmetic mean. This average is compared against the market-specific threshold: if the mean equals or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets follow identical data collection and calculation procedures, differing only in their respective price thresholds.