TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$202,688,956
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,829,820
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,734,437,429
480,371
Markets across
36,315
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,915
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets determines whether Bitcoin's price exceeds various thresholds at a specific future moment, using a standardized benchmark for accuracy. Each threshold represents a different price level that must be surpassed for the corresponding market to settle positively. The evaluation relies on a precise, averaged measurement taken just before the defined time to ensure consistency.
All markets share a unified resolution methodology centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, the outcome depends on whether the simple average of the sixty-second readings of the BRTI immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 3, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The exact threshold varies per market, incrementing in $250 steps from $76,000 upwards. The final price determination involves collecting 60 individual BRTI prices during the final minute before expiration, then calculating their arithmetic mean. This average is compared against the market-specific threshold: if the mean equals or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets follow identical data collection and calculation procedures, differing only in their respective price thresholds.