TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will resolve based on the Bitcoin price at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized benchmark for price verification. Each market has a different price threshold, and the outcome depends on whether the average price meets or exceeds that threshold at the exact moment specified.
All markets share a unified resolution mechanism centered on the Bitcoin price at 5 PM EDT on October 29, 2026, using the CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). For each market, the resolution hinges on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of BRTI prices immediately preceding 5 PM EDT exceeds a specified threshold. The final price determination involves collecting 60 BRTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. This average is then compared against the market-specific threshold: if the average is equal to or greater than the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets rely on the same data source and methodology, ensuring consistency across different price points.