TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price reaches various specific thresholds by a fixed date and time. Each threshold represents a different price level that Bitcoin must exceed for the corresponding market to settle as 'Yes'. The outcomes are based on a standardized, averaged price index measured at a precise moment.
All markets share a unified resolution methodology centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, the resolution hinges on whether the simple average of the sixty-second readings of the BRTI immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 27, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. The thresholds vary incrementally across markets, each defining a distinct price boundary. At the market's expiration, the last minute of data collection involves gathering 60 individual BRTI price points, after which the official closing value is calculated as the average of these samples. This averaging process ensures a smoothed, representative price used for all resolution determinations. Traders should note that while external sources like exchanges or aggregators may show differing values, CF Benchmarks' BRTI is the exclusive and definitive reference for settling these markets.