TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Crypto
BTC price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$2,825,999

$84,500 or above

 - Kalshi

$84,500 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$84,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$491,987
N/A
N/A
$157,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,000 or above

100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$293,194
N/A
N/A
$117,847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,250 or above

100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$287,064
N/A
N/A
$88,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,750 or above

100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$162,117
N/A
N/A
$88,689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147,959
N/A
N/A
$62,500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,750 or above

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103,340
N/A
N/A
$51,705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90,803
N/A
N/A
$71,296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,500 or above

100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,163
N/A
N/A
$28,250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,432
N/A
N/A
$29,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,250 or above

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,387
N/A
N/A
$19,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,250 or above

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,388
N/A
N/A
$21,913
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,500 or above

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,558
N/A
N/A
$16,962
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,750 or above

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,430
N/A
N/A
$11,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,000 or above

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,489
N/A
N/A
$8,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,250 or above

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,583
N/A
N/A
$7,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,500 or above

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,939
N/A
N/A
$7,083
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,750 or above

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,053
N/A
N/A
$6,838
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 or above

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,961
N/A
N/A
$2,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,322
N/A
N/A
$1,987
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,500 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,250 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,750 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
$289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84,750 or above

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$510,398
N/A
N/A
$147,674
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 or above

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231,079
N/A
N/A
$109,215
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,250 or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,770
N/A
N/A
$32,300
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This set of markets will resolve based on the Bitcoin price at a specific future timestamp, using a standardized index for price verification. Each market has a different price threshold that must be met or exceeded for resolution.

Kalshi

All markets share the same core resolution mechanism: the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 21, 2026, will be compared against a specific threshold. If this average exceeds the threshold (specified uniquely for each market), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Each threshold represents a distinct price level, creating multiple possible outcomes based on the same underlying data point. The official price is determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration, ensuring consistency across all markets despite differing target values.