TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Bitcoin's price performance against a series of escalating thresholds at a specific future date and time. It uses a standardized, averaged price index to determine outcomes, offering multiple opportunities to assess whether the price surpasses various milestones.
The event evaluates whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 19, 2026, exceeds one or more specified thresholds. Each threshold represents a distinct price level, and the market resolves to "Yes" if the calculated average surpasses the corresponding threshold. The official price is derived from averaging 60 BRTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration. All markets share this core mechanism, differing only in their respective price thresholds, which range incrementally from $71,500 to $91,250. The use of CF Benchmarks' BRTI ensures consistency, as general public sources may vary, and the average of the last minute's data provides a precise, time-bound measurement for resolution.