TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BTC price on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BTC price on Oct 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$2,035,424

$82,750 or above

 - Kalshi

$82,750 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$82,750 or above

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$287,573
N/A
N/A
$110,221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,500 or above

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$167,288
N/A
N/A
$52,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,250 or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,137
N/A
N/A
$24,881
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,750 or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,666
N/A
N/A
$59,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82,000 or above

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,499
N/A
N/A
$26,663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,500 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,421
N/A
N/A
$29,466
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,000 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,071
N/A
N/A
$5,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81,250 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,069
N/A
N/A
$5,986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,750 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,242
N/A
N/A
$5,083
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$447
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$375
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,250 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$254
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,000 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83,000 or above

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748,677
N/A
N/A
$123,063
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,250 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310,633
N/A
N/A
$167,408
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,500 or above

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,284
N/A
N/A
$93,805
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,000 or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,818
N/A
N/A
$32,416
Settled
No
kalshi

$83,750 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,765
N/A
N/A
$27,690
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,250 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,144
N/A
N/A
$5,037
Settled
No
kalshi

$84,500 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,754
N/A
N/A
$1,736
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,250 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,294
N/A
N/A
$1,294
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,750 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$740
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
No
kalshi

$85,000 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
$659
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

This set of markets will determine whether Bitcoin's price reaches various specific thresholds by a fixed date and time, using a standardized benchmark for price verification. Each threshold represents a different price level that Bitcoin must exceed for the corresponding market to settle positively. The outcomes are binary, reflecting whether the price crossed each specified level at the exact evaluation moment.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution framework centered on the Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) published by CF Benchmarks. For each market, the resolution hinges on whether the simple average of the sixty-second readings of the BRTI immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on October 10, 2026, exceeds a predetermined threshold. The thresholds vary incrementally across markets, each defining a distinct price boundary. The official price determination involves collecting 60 consecutive BRTI values during the final minute before expiration, with the average of these values serving as the conclusive benchmark. This methodology ensures consistency and objectivity across all thresholds, with identical data collection and calculation procedures applied uniformly to resolve each market's outcome.