TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?
kalshi

BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Oct 30, 2026, 4:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 5:05 PM EST
Total volume:
$894,410
Volume 24h:
$255,601
7%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$528,076
23%

$66,000 or above

 - Kalshi

$66,000 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:16h:06m

Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 1,068% Illiquid market 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$66,000 or above

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$23,432
237,302%
N/A
$23,427
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$69,000 or above

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$16,068
87%
N/A
$15,945
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$69,500 or above

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$6,952
7%
N/A
$6,122
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$66,500 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$3,716
850%
N/A
$3,716
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$67,500 or above

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$944
33%
N/A
$906
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$65,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$859
15%
N/A
$821
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$65,500 or above

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$194
1,444%
N/A
$194
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$68,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 4¢
2¢
N/A
$2,126
119%
N/A
$2,019
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$67,000 or above

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$1,580
5%
N/A
$1,580
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$70,500 or above

Trade
96%
2%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$10,694
20%
N/A
$7,195
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$68,500 or above

Trade
96%
1%
Yes 98¢No 4¢
2¢
N/A
$12,505
19%
N/A
$12,504
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$70,000 or above

Trade
96%
2%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$11,265
35%
N/A
$9,775
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$71,500 or above

Trade
94%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$20,018
28%
N/A
$14,020
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$71,000 or above

Trade
93%
1%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
N/A
$20,215
5%
N/A
$19,309
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$72,500 or above

Trade
92%
1%
Yes 91¢No 10¢
1¢
N/A
$15,963
7%
N/A
$12,372
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$72,000 or above

Trade
92%
Yes 93¢No 8¢
1¢
N/A
$26,084
51%
N/A
$14,304
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$73,000 or above

Trade
89%
2%
Yes 88¢No 13¢
1¢
N/A
$16,604
53%
N/A
$7,417
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$73,500 or above

Trade
84%
6%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
1¢
N/A
$47,065
51%
N/A
$11,419
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$74,000 or above

Trade
83%
4%
Yes 81¢No 20¢
1¢
N/A
$49,336
35%
N/A
$21,960
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$74,500 or above

Trade
77%
8%
Yes 77¢No 24¢
1¢
N/A
$42,703
25%
N/A
$17,227
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$75,000 or above

Trade
74%
10%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
1¢
N/A
$26,502
42%
N/A
$17,728
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$75,500 or above

Trade
69%
7%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
1¢
N/A
$21,232
7%
N/A
$16,224
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$76,000 or above

Trade
60%
15%
Yes 60¢No 41¢
1¢
N/A
$52,865
186%
N/A
$28,854
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$76,500 or above

Trade
55%
9%
Yes 54¢No 47¢
1¢
N/A
$86,349
8%
N/A
$52,305
3d 16h 6m
Active
kalshi

$77,000 or above

Trade
48%
16%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
N/A
$60,201
33%
N/A
$27,210
3d 16h 6m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks whether the average Bitcoin price, as measured by the CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), will be above $64,999.99 at 5:00 PM EST on November 6, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 97.0%. The resolution source for this market is the simple average of sixty seconds of the BRTI before the specified time. Traders should closely watch the price of Bitcoin leading up to November 6, 2026, as the final sixty seconds of BRTI data before 5:00 PM EST will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately preceding 5 PM EST on November 6, 2026. For any given market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $65,000.00, $65,500.00, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is determined exclusively by CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not by other sources such as exchange rates or public platforms. At the market's expiration minute, exactly sixty individual BRTI price readings are collected and averaged to produce the final determining value. All markets share this identical resolution methodology, differing only in their respective price thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bitcoin price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for Bitcoin on November 6, 2026, at 5pm EST. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how expectations have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $251,708. The total volume traded in this market is $894,410, indicating the level of interest and participation from forecasters. This information helps you understand where the crowd believes the price will land.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Bitcoin price that may differ from those found in traditional surveys or analyst reports. While spot price expectations are often based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents a view of what will *actually* happen, as traders are putting their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and broader expectations can arise due to differing information sets, risk appetites, or the incentive structure of prediction markets, where accurate forecasts are directly rewarded.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Bitcoin price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price range being the correct one at the resolution date. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at each price, provides insight into the liquidity and confidence in different outcomes. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of Bitcoin price expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bitcoin price at 5pm EST on November 6, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for Bitcoin pricing data. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen contract corresponds to the actual price at that time. The market’s resolution ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, could cause substantial price swings. Unexpected macroeconomic developments, such as shifts in interest rates or inflation, could also influence investor sentiment. Technological advancements or security breaches related to the Bitcoin network itself are potential catalysts. Finally, broad market trends in risk assets and overall investor confidence will play a role in shaping expectations for the Bitcoin price leading up to Nov 6, 2026.