TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of BNB on a specific date and time, dividing possible outcomes into narrow, consecutive price ranges. Each range represents a distinct resolution condition based on where the price falls at the exact moment of evaluation.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on Oct 30, 2026. If this average falls within any specified price range, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) is the definitive data source, with the official price determined by averaging 60 RTI values collected in the final minute before expiration. Market outcomes are mutually exclusive, with each range covering a specific $5 increment from $619.99 or below up to $860 or above.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the BNB price on the specified date. These odds represent what traders believe the probability is of BNB falling within certain price ranges. This differs from typical spot price expectations, which are often based on analyst forecasts or current market trends. This market aggregates diverse opinions, potentially offering a more nuanced view than single-source predictions. Examining the difference between these odds and external forecasts can reveal insights into market confidence and potential volatility.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different BNB price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer a contract's price range is to the expected BNB price, the more expensive the contract will be. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting where the BNB price will settle, buying low and selling high, or vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the price of BNB as recorded on a designated exchange at 5pm EDT on October 30, 2026. The contract corresponding to the price range that includes the actual BNB price at that time will pay out, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor the price of BNB leading up to the resolution date to understand the potential outcomes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 30, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could impact the price of BNB. Specific news related to Binance, the exchange associated with BNB, including technological advancements, security breaches, or partnerships, would also be influential. Macroeconomic events, like changes in interest rates or global economic growth, could also play a role, as could overall adoption of blockchain technology and the utility of the BNB token within the Binance ecosystem.