TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BNB price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BNB price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$8,862

$650 or above

 - Kalshi

$650 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$650 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$735 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$740 or above

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$725 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$655 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$705 or above

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$710 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$715 or above

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$720 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$730 or above

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$885 or above

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,553
N/A
N/A
$1,131
Settled
No
kalshi

$880 or above

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

$835 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
kalshi

$795 or above

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$134
Settled
No
kalshi

$825 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

$785 or above

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
$66
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

This event tracks whether the Binance Coin cryptocurrency reaches specific price thresholds by a set time. The outcome depends on a precise measurement taken at a defined moment, using a standardized method to ensure consistency across all thresholds.

Kalshi

The event determines if the Binance Coin (BNB) price exceeds various specified thresholds at 5 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. For each threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' if the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT exceeds the threshold value (e.g., $649.99 for $650 or above). The official price is derived from averaging 60 RTI data points collected in the final minute before expiration. All markets share this methodology, with each market applying its unique threshold to the same calculated average price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the BNB price market tracks the current implied probability of the BNB price being above or below various price points on October 9, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced BNB over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,932. The current total volume for this market is $8,862, indicating the level of interest and trading activity. This provides a real-time view of what traders believe about the future price of BNB.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of the BNB price on Oct 9, 2026. These odds represent what traders are willing to pay or accept to bet on different price outcomes. This differs from simply looking at current spot prices or analyst predictions, as it aggregates the insights of many individuals and allows them to express their beliefs with real capital. Discrepancies between the market price and external forecasts may indicate opportunities for informed traders, or simply differing perspectives on the future value of BNB.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts that pay out based on the final BNB price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price discovery process is driven entirely by traders’ willingness to take the other side of a bet, creating a dynamic and responsive market for forecasting the BNB price.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the price of BNB as recorded on a major cryptocurrency exchange at 5:00 PM EDT on October 9, 2026. Traders will receive payouts based on whether their contracts align with the final price, reflecting the accuracy of the market’s collective prediction. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized and reliable exchange.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could influence the BNB price. News regarding Binance, the exchange associated with BNB, including technological advancements, security breaches, or legal challenges, would also be key catalysts. Macroeconomic events, like changes in interest rates or global economic growth, could also play a role. Finally, significant adoption or rejection of BNB for real-world applications could shift trader expectations and move this market.