TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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BNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$583,060

$690 or above

 - Kalshi

$690 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$690 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,812
N/A
N/A
$633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$720 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,061
N/A
N/A
$886
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$710 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,793
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$695 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,827
N/A
N/A
$258
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$610 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,761
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$700 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,213
N/A
N/A
$907
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$670 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,022
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$675 or above

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,606
N/A
N/A
$909
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$715 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,407
N/A
N/A
$1,973
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$650 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,826
N/A
N/A
$192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$705 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,111
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$680 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,307
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$655 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,635
N/A
N/A
$480
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$660 or above

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,565
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$725 or above

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,471
N/A
N/A
$669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$645 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,025
N/A
N/A
$228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$620 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,872
N/A
N/A
$252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$730 or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,834
N/A
N/A
$361
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$665 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,708
N/A
N/A
$562
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$685 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,402
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$630 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,774
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$635 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,499
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$640 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,082
N/A
N/A
$153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$735 or above

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,120
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$740 or above

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,016
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Intro

This market tracks whether the average BNB price, as measured by CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI, will be above $649.99 at 5:00 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI data. Traders should closely watch the price of BNB leading up to October 23, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the sixty-second simple average of the BNBUSD_RTI price right before 5:00 PM EDT on that date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' this average must exceed the specified threshold (e.g., $604.99, $609.99, etc.). The official price is determined by collecting 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. Participants should note that price data sources like Google or Coinbase may differ from the CF Benchmarks RTI used for resolution. All markets share these consistent methodology and data collection rules, with each market applying its unique price threshold to determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the BNB price market dashboard provides real-time data for traders interested in forecasting the price of BNB. You’ll find the current implied probability of various price ranges, a price history chart showing how expectations have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $150,261. The total volume for this market is $582,825. This allows participants to assess market sentiment and make informed trading decisions related to the future value of BNB.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the BNB price on Oct 23, 2026. These expectations are formed by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the future, and can differ from those found in traditional spot price forecasts or analyst predictions. This market provides a unique view, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd. It’s important to note that prediction markets aren't simply reflections of current spot prices, but rather forward-looking assessments of probability.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different BNB price ranges, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probability distribution. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This mechanism ensures that the market price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a real-time forecast for the future BNB price.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the price of BNB as recorded on a major cryptocurrency exchange at 5:00 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. The exact exchange used for verification will be determined by Kalshi’s resolution process, and will be publicly available. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the BNB price.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could influence the BNB price. News regarding Binance, the exchange associated with BNB, including technological advancements, security breaches, or legal challenges, would likely move this market. Macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall risk appetite in financial markets could also play a role in shaping expectations for BNB’s future value.