TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bitcoin price on November 5?
opinion
polymarket

Bitcoin price on November 5?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,175
Volume 24h:
$1,994
1,099%
Liquidity:
$60,816
43%
Open interest:
$2,167N/A

76,000-78,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:23h:11m

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 5?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

76,000-78,000

Trade
26%
6%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
4¢
$3,734
$70
78%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

76,000-78,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

78,000-80,000

Trade
22%
Yes 24¢No 81¢
5¢
$2,235
$22
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

78,000-80,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
21.5%
Yes 24¢No 81¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

74,000-76,000

Trade
21%
5%
Yes 22¢No 81¢
3¢
$21,190
$1,543
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

74,000-76,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20.5%
Yes 22¢No 81¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

<72,000

Trade
6%
Yes 8.5¢No 96.3¢
4.8¢
$6,390
$420
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

<72,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.1%
Yes 8.5¢No 96.3¢
Avg: 4.8¢Max: 4.8¢
polymarket

>90,000

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.7¢
0.7¢
$7,584
$120
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

>90,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.7%
Yes 1¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 0.7¢
polymarket

72,000-74,000

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 11.4¢No 91.3¢
2.7¢
$3,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

72,000-74,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2.7¢Max: 2.7¢
polymarket

80,000-82,000

Trade
12%
2%
Yes 14¢No 90¢
4¢
$3,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

80,000-82,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

82,000-84,000

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 97¢
3¢
$4,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

82,000-84,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

84,000-86,000

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
$1,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

84,000-86,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

86,000-88,000

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$3,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

86,000-88,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

88,000-90,000

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2.3¢No 99¢
1.3¢
$1,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
opinion

88,000-90,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 1.3¢
Total markets: 22

Description

This group of markets asks forecasters to predict the price of Bitcoin on November 5th, 2024. Markets cover a range of price brackets, from below $72,000 to above $90,000, allowing for granular predictions about the cryptocurrency's value at a specific point in time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets define the resolution based on the same Binance BTC/USDT 'Close' price at 12:00 ET on November 5th, using identical price brackets.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on November 5th.
  • If the price falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket resolves as true.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Downtime: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, the markets will likely rely on archived data or a similar reliable source for the BTC/USDT 'Close' price, as determined by Polymarket's operators.
  • Data Discrepancies: In the unlikely event of conflicting price data from Binance, Polymarket's operators will determine the authoritative source.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closes at 12:00 ET on November 5th, 2024.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.