TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bitcoin price on November 3?
⌛Ending Soon
opinion
polymarket

Bitcoin price on November 3?

Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$55,385
Volume 24h:
$34,815
304%
Liquidity:
$143,851
29%
Open interest:
$29,794N/A

76,000-78,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 13h:28m:46s

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 3?

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

76,000-78,000

Trade
53%
27%
Yes 54¢No 49¢
3¢
$12,321
$5,923
108%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

76,000-78,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
52.5%
Yes 54¢No 49¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

74,000-76,000

Trade
23%
7%
Yes 24.5¢No 79¢
3.5¢
$10,340
$15,027
494%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

74,000-76,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
22.8%
Yes 24.5¢No 79¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 3.5¢
polymarket

78,000-80,000

Trade
18%
12%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$11,413
$6,508
88%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

78,000-80,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
18%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

72,000-74,000

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3.9¢No 97.6¢
1.5¢
$8,772
$8,992
166%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

72,000-74,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.2%
Yes 3.9¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 1.5¢
polymarket

80,000-82,000

Trade
2%
16%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.8¢
0.2¢
$12,524
$4,031
76%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

80,000-82,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.3%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.8¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

<72,000

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.5¢
0.5¢
$17,140
$7,967
294%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

<72,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.8%
Yes 1¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 0.5¢
polymarket

>90,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
—
$17,808
$171
42%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

>90,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

82,000-84,000

Trade
0%
4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$12,612
$5,313
71%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

82,000-84,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

88,000-90,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$12,612
$591
6%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

88,000-90,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

86,000-88,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$15,565
$257
0%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

86,000-88,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

84,000-86,000

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$12,745
$606
14%
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
opinion

84,000-86,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 28m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 22

Description

This group forecasts the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on November 3rd, 2024, using Binance BTC/USDT as the source of truth. Markets ask whether the price will fall into specific ranges or be above/below certain thresholds at a specific time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize the same underlying data source (Binance BTC/USDT) and resolution time (12:00 ET on November 3rd) to determine the Bitcoin price, resulting in consistent market logic.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET on November 3rd, 2024 (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • The price of Bitcoin will be determined by the 'Close' price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET on November 3rd.
  • If the price falls exactly between two brackets, the market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Downtime: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, PredictionHero will attempt to source the data from a reliable alternative exchange with high liquidity for BTC/USDT, prioritizing those with similar trading volume and order book depth. The alternative source will be documented.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closes at 12:00 ET on November 3rd, 2024. Settlement is expected within 24-48 hours.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices are determined by immediate supply and demand, while this market incorporates forward-looking information and risk assessment from a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions about market catalysts, regulatory changes, or macroeconomic factors. The current volume of $34,064 suggests active trading and evolving price expectations within this market.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Bitcoin as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on November 3. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market. Traders should review the platform documentation for details on how the final price is sourced and verified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 3, 2026. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions from central banks, often influence Bitcoin’s price. Regulatory developments, including potential changes to cryptocurrency laws or enforcement actions, could also create volatility. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant news regarding the adoption of Bitcoin by institutions or governments are further catalysts. Any substantial shift in market sentiment, driven by these or other factors, will likely be reflected in the trading activity and price movements within this market.