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Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 5?
polymarket

Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 5?

Volume:
$1,373

$35-$40

 - Polymarket

$35-$40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 5:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$35-$40

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$45-$50

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$50

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$35

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$40-$45

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC). If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The Bitcoin Hashprice Index value is the US dollar hashprice per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day). To see the value, mouse over the datapoint for the specified week on the chart. A weekly datapoint is considered finalized once the datapoint for the following week is published. At that point, the prior week's value is considered finalized. This market will resolve once the weekly datapoint for the specified week is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. If no value for the specified week is displayed by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Hashrate Index differing from other sources. Revisions to the value displayed for the specified week made after that datapoint is finalized will not be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Bitcoin Hashprice Index chart at https://data.hashrateindex.com/network-data/bitcoin-hashprice-index, with "USD" and "PH/s" selected and the chart period set to "ALL". Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Hashprice Index as displayed on Hashrate Index. Values from other data providers, independently calculated hashprice estimates, or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC). If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The Bitcoin Hashprice Index value is the US dollar hashprice per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day). To see the value, mouse over the datapoint for the specified week on the chart. A weekly datapoint is considered finalized once the datapoint for the following week is published. At that point, the prior week's value is considered finalized. This market will resolve once the weekly datapoint for the specified week is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. If no value for the specified week is displayed by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Hashrate Index differing from other sources. Revisions to the value displayed for the specified week made after that datapoint is finalized will not be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Bitcoin Hashprice Index chart at https://data.hashrateindex.com/network-data/bitcoin-hashprice-index, with "USD" and "PH/s" selected and the chart period set to "ALL". Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Hashprice Index as displayed on Hashrate Index. Values from other data providers, independently calculated hashprice estimates, or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bitcoin hashprice market tracks the current odds for various price ranges of the Bitcoin hashprice during the week of October 5. You can view the implied probability of different outcomes, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $751. The total volume for this market is $1,373. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the future value of Bitcoin’s hashprice.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a high probability of the Bitcoin hashprice falling within a specific range for the week of October 5. These expectations are formed by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts or polls reveals whether the market anticipates a different outcome than conventional wisdom. It’s important to note that prediction markets often reflect a more nuanced and up-to-date view than traditional forecasting methods, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different potential outcomes for the Bitcoin hashprice. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own expectations. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most current collective intelligence regarding the future hashprice.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the average Bitcoin hashprice during the week of October 5, as determined by a widely recognized data source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the actual hashprice. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result, providing clarity for all participants.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Major news regarding Bitcoin mining difficulty adjustments, significant changes in the price of Bitcoin itself, or large-scale disruptions to mining operations could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected regulatory announcements related to cryptocurrency mining could also move the market. Furthermore, any developments impacting the energy costs associated with Bitcoin mining could influence the hashprice and, consequently, the odds in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential price movements.