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Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 12?
polymarket

Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 12?

Volume:
$735

$35-$40

 - Polymarket

$35-$40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 5:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$35-$40

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<$30

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$30-$35

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$40-$45

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$45

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC). If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The Bitcoin Hashprice Index value is the US dollar hashprice per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day). To see the value, mouse over the datapoint for the specified week on the chart. A weekly datapoint is considered finalized once the datapoint for the following week is published. At that point, the prior week's value is considered finalized. This market will resolve once the weekly datapoint for the specified week is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. If no value for the specified week is displayed by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Hashrate Index differing from other sources. Revisions to the value displayed for the specified week made after that datapoint is finalized will not be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Bitcoin Hashprice Index chart at https://data.hashrateindex.com/network-data/bitcoin-hashprice-index, with "USD" and "PH/s" selected and the chart period set to "ALL". Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Hashprice Index as displayed on Hashrate Index. Values from other data providers, independently calculated hashprice estimates, or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC). If the displayed value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The Bitcoin Hashprice Index value is the US dollar hashprice per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day). To see the value, mouse over the datapoint for the specified week on the chart. A weekly datapoint is considered finalized once the datapoint for the following week is published. At that point, the prior week's value is considered finalized. This market will resolve once the weekly datapoint for the specified week is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. If no value for the specified week is displayed by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Hashrate Index differing from other sources. Revisions to the value displayed for the specified week made after that datapoint is finalized will not be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Bitcoin Hashprice Index chart at https://data.hashrateindex.com/network-data/bitcoin-hashprice-index, with "USD" and "PH/s" selected and the chart period set to "ALL". Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Hashprice Index as displayed on Hashrate Index. Values from other data providers, independently calculated hashprice estimates, or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bitcoin hashprice market tracks the current implied probability of different hashprice ranges for the week of October 12. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $735. The total volume traded on this market is $735. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the future value of Bitcoin’s hashprice.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the Bitcoin hashprice during the week of October 12. These expectations are derived from the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Comparing this to broader market sentiment, analysts’ forecasts, and polls regarding Bitcoin’s mining profitability can reveal whether the prediction market is leaning towards a more bullish or bearish outlook than conventional wisdom. It’s important to note that this market represents a forward-looking assessment, distinct from the current spot price.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different hashprice outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own research, analysis, and risk tolerance, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in various potential hashprice scenarios for the specified week.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the average Bitcoin hashprice for the week of October 12 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on data from recognized sources tracking Bitcoin mining statistics. The specific hashprice used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established methodology, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the market’s outcome. Traders should review the platform's documentation for the exact resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major changes in Bitcoin’s price, network difficulty adjustments, and significant shifts in the cost of electricity for miners are all potential catalysts. News regarding regulatory developments impacting Bitcoin mining, or breakthroughs in mining hardware efficiency, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events affecting the global energy market, or large-scale disruptions to mining operations, could also cause substantial price movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the Bitcoin hashprice.