TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Bitcoin closes with more green days than red days during the week of October 19, as determined by a widely-recognized cryptocurrency data source. This means the outcome isn’t determined by any single entity but by objective price data available after the period concludes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Bitcoin adoption, regulatory changes, or macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as hacks or significant price swings in other major coins, could also move the market. Furthermore, any announcements from influential figures in the crypto space or significant technical developments related to Bitcoin's blockchain could shift the probabilities reflected in this market.