TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
Bitcoin green days week of October 19?
polymarket

Bitcoin green days week of October 19?

Volume:
$186

2 Green Days

 - Polymarket

2 Green Days - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 6:34 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2 Green Days

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1 Green Days

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5 Green Days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0 Green Days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3 Green Days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4 Green Days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6 Green Days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7 Green Days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Bitcoin. While spot markets reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding the likelihood of green days next week. This can sometimes reveal a divergence from analyst forecasts or general market sentiment, as traders weigh various factors influencing Bitcoin's price. It's a forward-looking indicator, reflecting collective wisdom about the week ahead.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Bitcoin closes with more green days than red days during the week of October 19, as determined by a widely-recognized cryptocurrency data source. This means the outcome isn’t determined by any single entity but by objective price data available after the period concludes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Bitcoin adoption, regulatory changes, or macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as hacks or significant price swings in other major coins, could also move the market. Furthermore, any announcements from influential figures in the crypto space or significant technical developments related to Bitcoin's blockchain could shift the probabilities reflected in this market.