TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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63%

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Bitcoin green days week of October 12?
polymarket

Bitcoin green days week of October 12?

Volume:
$1,213

3 Green Days

 - Polymarket

3 Green Days - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

3 Green Days

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

7 Green Days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0 Green Days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4 Green Days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5 Green Days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2 Green Days

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1 Green Days

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6 Green Days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bitcoin green days market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the probability of Bitcoin experiencing three or more green days during the week of October 12. The 24-hour volume indicates how much trading activity this market has seen recently, offering insight into current interest. Currently, the volume is $860 and the total market volume is $362. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a strong belief that Bitcoin will have at least three green days next week. This contrasts with some analysts’ more cautious outlooks, which suggest increased volatility and potential for sideways trading. While spot price expectations are influenced by a wide range of factors, including macroeconomic conditions and regulatory news, this market focuses solely on the specific outcome of green days during the defined period. The market’s implied probability offers a concentrated view on this particular event, potentially differing from broader market sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the number of days Bitcoin’s price closes higher than its opening price during the week of October 12. The final outcome will be determined by examining historical price data from a recognized financial data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could impact investor sentiment towards Bitcoin. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly in the United States, could also trigger price swings. Furthermore, significant news related to Bitcoin adoption by institutions or large corporations could influence trading activity in this market. Any unexpected geopolitical events or major shifts in global financial markets could also contribute to volatility and affect the odds.