TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin green days week of November 9?
polymarket

Bitcoin green days week of November 9?

Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 15, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the number of green days for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the specified week. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to “Yes”. The week consists of the seven Binance 1-day candles beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date (Monday - Sunday). A day is a green day if the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its candle is equal to or greater than 0.00%. A 1-day candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-day candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the first 1-day candle of the following week is published, finalizing the last candle of the specified week. If a candle is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT trading pair, with the chart settings on "1D" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT Please note that this market is about the price according to the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bitcoin green days market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the probability of Bitcoin experiencing more green days than red days during the week of November 9th. The dashboard also shows the total volume traded on Polymarket for this market, providing insight into overall interest. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $0 and the total volume is $0.

Prediction market odds represent a forward-looking assessment of whether Bitcoin will have more green days than red days during the specified week. This differs from spot price expectations, which reflect current market sentiment. While spot prices react to immediate news and trading activity, this market allows participants to express beliefs about the future. If a significant number of analysts predict a bullish week for Bitcoin, we might see the odds on this market shift to reflect that expectation, potentially indicating a divergence from current spot price trends.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of Bitcoin having more green days than red days during the week of November 9th. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Nov 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the number of days Bitcoin’s price closes higher than its previous day’s close during the week of November 9th. A majority of green days will result in a positive outcome for this market, while a majority of red days will result in a negative outcome. The final determination will be based on data from a widely recognized financial data source.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding Bitcoin adoption, regulatory changes, or macroeconomic factors impacting investor sentiment could all influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as a significant hack or a major institutional investment, could also shift the odds. Positive or negative statements from influential figures in the crypto space, or even broader market trends, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Nov 16, 2026.