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410,833

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Bitcoin dominance on October 30?
polymarket

Bitcoin dominance on October 30?

Volume:
$426

60.00%-61.00%

 - Polymarket

60.00%-61.00% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 12:33 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

60.00%-61.00%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

61.00%-62.00%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<58.00%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

58.00%-59.00%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

59.00%-60.00%

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>62.00%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. TradingView reports CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 2 decimal places. A 1-minute candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-minute candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on the specified date is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the specified date. If the data remains unavailable at that point, or the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D symbol has been discontinued, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to TradingView differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) "Close" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D, with the chart settings on "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about Bitcoin dominance according to TradingView's CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index, not according to any other sources or calculations of dominance.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. TradingView reports CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 2 decimal places. A 1-minute candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-minute candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on the specified date is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the specified date. If the data remains unavailable at that point, or the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D symbol has been discontinued, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to TradingView differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) "Close" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D, with the chart settings on "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about Bitcoin dominance according to TradingView's CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index, not according to any other sources or calculations of dominance.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects a collective forecast about Bitcoin’s dominance relative to the broader cryptocurrency market. Prediction market odds often differ from those found in traditional polls or analyst expectations, as they represent a financial commitment to an outcome. Traders put their capital at risk, incentivizing more rigorous and informed predictions. If spot price expectations suggest a significantly different outcome than what is priced into this market, opportunities may arise for traders to profit from the discrepancy. However, it’s important to remember that market prices can change rapidly based on new information.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. Volume plays a role as well; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s price discovery process. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives price fluctuations.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Bitcoin dominance percentage will be determined using data from a widely-recognized cryptocurrency data aggregator, reflecting the proportion of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization represented by Bitcoin at the specified time. The outcome will be based on the percentage reported by the data aggregator, and this market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor the data source as Oct 30, 2026 approaches to understand how the outcome is being calculated.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Major news events related to Bitcoin, such as regulatory announcements, technological advancements, or large institutional investments, could shift trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic conditions, including inflation rates, interest rate changes, and geopolitical events, can also influence cryptocurrency markets. Additionally, significant developments in competing cryptocurrencies or the overall health of the crypto ecosystem could affect Bitcoin’s dominance. Unexpected security breaches or network congestion on either Bitcoin or other major cryptocurrencies could also trigger price movements and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.