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$154.1b

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2,983,476,643

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$1,833,875,329

407,365

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4,365

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5

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Bitcoin dominance on November 6?
polymarket

Bitcoin dominance on November 6?

Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
N/A
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$14
4%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

<58.00%

 - Polymarket

<58.00% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 04d:00h:08m

Will Bitcoin dominance be less than 58.00% on November 6?

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 337% Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<58.00%

Trade
50%
Yes 98¢No 99¢
97¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8m
Active
polymarket

58.00%-59.00%

Trade
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8m
Active
polymarket

59.00%-60.00%

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8m
Active
polymarket

60.00%-61.00%

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8m
Active
polymarket

61.00%-62.00%

Trade
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8m
Active
polymarket

>62.00%

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8m
Active
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. TradingView reports CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 2 decimal places. A 1-minute candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-minute candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on the specified date is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the specified date. If the data remains unavailable at that point, or the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D symbol has been discontinued, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to TradingView differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) "Close" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D, with the chart settings on "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about Bitcoin dominance according to TradingView's CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index, not according to any other sources or calculations of dominance.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the "Close" value of the TradingView 1-minute candle for Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the specified date. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. TradingView reports CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 2 decimal places. A 1-minute candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-minute candle is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve once the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on the specified date is finalized. If the value is unavailable, this market will resolve according to the value as first displayed once data is again available, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the specified date. If the data remains unavailable at that point, or the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D symbol has been discontinued, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. No substitute index or data provider will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to TradingView differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the Bitcoin Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D) "Close" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D, with the chart settings on "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about Bitcoin dominance according to TradingView's CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index, not according to any other sources or calculations of dominance.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bitcoin dominance market tracks the current implied probability of various dominance ranges on November 6. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the price history showing how the market has priced in information over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, which indicates how actively traders are participating in this market. Total volume to date is $0, reflecting overall interest in predicting Bitcoin's share of the cryptocurrency market.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot markets reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about the future value of Bitcoin dominance. If a significant number of traders believe Bitcoin dominance will rise, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially signaling a divergence from what’s currently priced into spot exchanges. This provides a forward-looking indicator that can be useful for understanding market sentiment and potential future movements.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, with a chance of 100.0%, is that Bitcoin dominance will fall within a specific range on November 6, as determined by the market participants.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual Bitcoin dominance percentage on November 6 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on data from a widely recognized cryptocurrency data aggregator, reflecting the percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization represented by Bitcoin at the specified date and time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available information.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding Bitcoin adoption, regulatory changes affecting cryptocurrencies, or significant technological developments within the Bitcoin network could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected macroeconomic events, like shifts in interest rates or inflation data, could also impact investor risk appetite and, consequently, Bitcoin dominance. Finally, large-scale movements in the prices of alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) could also affect Bitcoin’s relative market share, driving activity in this market.