TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
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Will Bitcoin be above the price on November 8?
68,000
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Opinion
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:14h:37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 8?
$
Description
This group of markets asks whether the price of Bitcoin will exceed specified thresholds on November 8th. All markets rely on the price of Bitcoin as measured by the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Resolution depends on a single 1-minute candle closing at noon ET on November 8th.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms utilize the same source (Binance BTC/USDT) and resolution criteria (1-minute candle close at noon ET on November 8th) for determining if Bitcoin's price exceeds a given threshold.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDTCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of the 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle.
- The candle must close at or after 12:00 ET on November 8th.
- The 'Close' price must be strictly greater than the threshold specified in the market question.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Availability: If Binance experiences a data outage or the 1-minute candle data is unavailable at the specified time, resolution may be delayed or require manual intervention based on archived data if available. However, the core logic remains the same.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for the Bitcoin price at the specified date and time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of whether the Bitcoin price exceeded the relevant threshold. The outcome of this market will reflect the prevailing price as reported by these sources.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions, often impact Bitcoin's price. Regulatory developments, particularly regarding cryptocurrency adoption or restrictions, could also cause substantial shifts in market sentiment. Unexpected news events, like significant security breaches or endorsements from influential figures, could also influence the price. Finally, broader market trends in risk assets and the overall economic outlook will play a role in shaping predictions for the Bitcoin price on November 8.
