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Markets across

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?
polymarket
opinion

Will Bitcoin be above the price on November 7?

Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$28,075
Volume 24h:
$6,262
63%
Liquidity:
$206,073
24%
Open interest:
$22,616N/A

68,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:11h:44m

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 7?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98.6¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 259% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

68,000

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 98.6¢No 2.3¢
0.9¢
$19,148
$7,959
7%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

68,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
98.2%
Yes 98.6¢No 2.3¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 0.9¢
polymarket

70,000

Trade
96%
Yes 97.1¢No 4.9¢
2¢
$18,186
$6,750
56%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

70,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
96.1%
Yes 97.1¢No 4.9¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

72,000

Trade
92%
2%
Yes 93¢No 9¢
2¢
$17,306
$1,169
27%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

72,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
92%
Yes 93¢No 9¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

74,000

Trade
80%
6%
Yes 81¢No 21¢
2¢
$17,220
$630
5%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

74,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
80%
Yes 81¢No 21¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

76,000

Trade
61%
14%
Yes 61¢No 40¢
1¢
$21,648
$2,055
2%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

76,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
60.5%
Yes 61¢No 40¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

78,000

Trade
37%
19%
Yes 39¢No 65¢
4¢
$23,436
$3,824
7%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

78,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
37%
Yes 39¢No 65¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

80,000

Trade
17%
15%
Yes 19¢No 85¢
4¢
$17,297
$183
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

80,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
17%
Yes 19¢No 85¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

82,000

Trade
6%
11%
Yes 8¢No 96¢
4¢
$17,152
$3,289
0.27%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

82,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 8¢No 96¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

84,000

Trade
3%
6%
Yes 3.3¢No 98.2¢
1.5¢
$17,877
$1,443
1,466%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

84,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.6%
Yes 3.3¢No 98.2¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 1.5¢
polymarket

86,000

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.5¢
1.4¢
$19,846
$355
3%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

86,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.2%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 1.4¢
polymarket

88,000

Trade
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.6¢
1.3¢
$16,957
$417
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
opinion

88,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 44m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 1.3¢
Total markets: 22

Description

This group of markets asks whether the price of Bitcoin will exceed various thresholds on November 7th. Each market focuses on a specific price point, ranging from $68,000 to $88,000. Resolution depends on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 PM ET on November 7th.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets share identical resolution criteria based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET on November 7th.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the closing price of the 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 7th.
  • A market resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price is strictly above the specified threshold.
  • A market resolves to 'No' if the closing price is less than or equal to the specified threshold.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Outage: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, PredictionHero will attempt to source data from a reputable alternative exchange with high liquidity, prioritizing those with similar trading volume and order book depth. The alternative source will be disclosed in the resolution notes.
  • Candle Formation: If a 1-minute candle does not fully form at 12:00 PM ET, the final closing price of the closest preceding complete candle will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle closes at or after 12:00 PM ET on November 7th. Resolution is expected within 24 hours of the event.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on whether the Bitcoin price will be above a certain threshold on November 7, 2026. It aggregates trading volume from both platforms, currently totaling $26,705 with $4,900 traded in the last 24 hours, to provide a comprehensive look at market sentiment. The short_topic allows you to quickly see how traders are pricing in the probability of this event occurring. This provides a unique perspective beyond individual exchanges, offering a weighted average of predictions across multiple venues. The dashboard is designed to give a clear overview of the overall market expectation.

Prediction market odds, as reflected in this market, offer a forward-looking perspective on the Bitcoin price, differing from spot price which reflects current value. Spot prices are influenced by immediate supply and demand, while this market incorporates expectations about future events and information. The implied probability derived from trading volume can be interpreted as a market forecast. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and traditional financial forecasts can highlight potential arbitrage opportunities or differing risk assessments, providing valuable insights for traders and analysts alike. This can be a useful tool for understanding market sentiment.

Prices on Polymarket and Opinion for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market-making on each platform – such as fees, liquidity pools, and order types – can create price discrepancies. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each prediction market venue and contribute to a more robust overall signal.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome determined by verifying whether the Bitcoin price exceeds the specified threshold on that date. The result will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome, reflecting the actual market conditions at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor external sources for official price data as the resolution date approaches, as this will be the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, would likely cause price fluctuations and affect trading activity. Unexpected macroeconomic events, such as shifts in interest rates or inflation, could also influence investor sentiment. Technological developments related to Bitcoin, like upgrades to the blockchain or increased adoption by institutional investors, could also drive price movements. Geopolitical events and broader market trends could also play a role, impacting the overall risk appetite and demand for Bitcoin, and thus, the price in this market.