TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
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68,000
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Opinion
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:18h:20m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?
$
Description
This group of markets asks whether the price of Bitcoin will exceed a specified threshold on November 6th. All markets rely on the price of Bitcoin as measured by the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. The thresholds vary across different markets within the group.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently use Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 6th to determine if the price exceeds a given threshold.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of the 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 6th.
- If the 'Close' price is strictly greater than the specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
- Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No'.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Binance Downtime: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, PredictionHero will attempt to find a reliable alternative source for the BTC/USDT price. If no suitable source is found, the market may be cancelled.
- Candle Formation: If a 1-minute candle does not fully form at 12:00 PM ET, the final 'Close' price of the most recent completed candle will be used.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different signal than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices represent current value, while this market aggregates beliefs about a future price point. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not fully captured in spot prices, such as anticipated regulatory changes or macroeconomic events. The current implied probability in this market provides an alternative viewpoint to standard financial forecasting methods, and can be a useful tool for assessing potential Bitcoin price movements.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the Bitcoin price at a specific time on November 6, as determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available data source. This ensures an objective and transparent process for determining whether the market resolves in favor of the price being above the specified level. The current volume of $8,215 indicates active trading as participants refine their predictions.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions, often impact Bitcoin's price. Regulatory developments, particularly regarding cryptocurrency adoption or restrictions, could also trigger substantial price swings. Unexpected news related to Bitcoin's underlying technology or security vulnerabilities could also influence trading activity. Finally, large-scale institutional investments or liquidations could create significant market momentum, shifting the odds in either direction.
