TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin above ___ on November 3?
⌛Ending Soon
opinion
polymarket

Will Bitcoin be above the price on November 3?

Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$627,541
Volume 24h:
$371,337
333%
Liquidity:
$515,261
21%
Open interest:
$381,195N/A

70,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 16h:15m:29s

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.7¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.3% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

70,000

Trade
100%
1%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.4¢
0.1¢
$32,079
$55,251
254%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

70,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.7%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.4¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

72,000

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 99.4¢No 0.7¢
0.1¢
$23,890
$31,535
80%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

72,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.4%
Yes 99.4¢No 0.7¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

74,000

Trade
96%
Yes 96.2¢No 4.2¢
0.4¢
$27,728
$96,978
128%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

74,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
96%
Yes 96.2¢No 4.2¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4.6¢
polymarket

76,000

Trade
80%
Yes 80¢No 20.1¢
0.1¢
$25,223
$65,402
87%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

76,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
80%
Yes 80¢No 20.1¢
Avg: 2.3¢Max: 4.4¢
polymarket

78,000

Trade
28%
35%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$21,919
$37,465
114%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

78,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

80,000

Trade
4%
19%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.2¢
0.4¢
$27,583
$39,059
141%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

80,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.2¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.4¢
polymarket

82,000

Trade
1%
6%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
0.1¢
$21,334
$76,138
56%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

82,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

86,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$76,837
$46,840
63%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

86,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

84,000

Trade
0%
2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$29,463
$38,118
100%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

84,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
polymarket

88,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$68,925
$112,515
811%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

88,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

90,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$160,280
$28,241
402%
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
opinion

90,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
16h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 22

Description

This group of markets asks whether the price of Bitcoin, as measured on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, will exceed various price thresholds at a specific time on November 3rd. Each market corresponds to a different price target. These are price-at-event markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets utilize the same Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on November 3rd as the resolution criteria.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the closing price of the 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 ET on November 3rd.
  • If the closing price is strictly greater than the target price in the market question, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Otherwise, the market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Downtime: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, the markets will likely be paused and resolved based on the first available data point after service restoration. This is subject to Polymarket's operational procedures.
  • Candle Formation: The resolution depends on a complete 1-minute candle forming at 12:00 ET. If a candle doesn't fully form, resolution may be delayed or rely on the closest available data.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the 12:00 ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closes on November 3rd, or shortly thereafter pending data availability and platform processing.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this market tracks predictions on whether the Bitcoin price will be above a certain level on November 3. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $624,232, with $342,851 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of expectations, showing how traders are pricing the probability of different outcomes. Polymarket currently favors an outcome of above $70,000, while Opinion currently leans toward 74,000. This allows for a comprehensive overview of sentiment surrounding the Bitcoin price market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, offer a forward-looking perspective on the Bitcoin price, distinct from current spot prices. Spot prices reflect the immediate cost of Bitcoin, while this market reflects collective beliefs about its future value. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not fully captured in spot prices, such as anticipated news events or regulatory changes. A significant difference between market odds and spot prices might indicate that traders foresee a substantial price movement, or conversely, a lack of expected volatility. Analyzing this market alongside traditional financial indicators can provide a more nuanced understanding of Bitcoin’s potential trajectory.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Opinion may diverge due to differing user bases, trading volumes, and market mechanisms. Polymarket might attract a more sophisticated or informed group of traders, leading to different price discovery than Opinion, which could have a broader, less experienced audience. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the prices observed in this market. These factors contribute to a dynamic interplay between the two platforms, resulting in potentially varied assessments of the likelihood of Bitcoin exceeding a certain price point.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Bitcoin on November 3 will be assessed against the market's threshold to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on data from widely-recognized cryptocurrency exchanges. The outcome of this market will reflect the prevailing market consensus at the time of settlement, providing a clear and objective result based on publicly available information.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding regulatory changes affecting cryptocurrency, macroeconomic data releases (like inflation reports), and significant adoption announcements from large corporations could all influence the Bitcoin price. Unexpected geopolitical events or security breaches impacting cryptocurrency exchanges could also cause volatility. Furthermore, technical analysis patterns and trading volume surges could signal shifts in market sentiment, driving price movements and impacting the probabilities reflected in this market.