TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the crypto asset with the best percentage performance for the specified week among the listed assets. If all listed assets decline for the week, the asset with the smallest decline is the best performer. If two or more listed assets are exactly tied for the best percentage performance, this market will resolve according to the tied asset whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The percentage performance for each asset is the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its Binance 1-week candle beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date. Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding; Binance reports "CHANGE" to 2 decimal places. Because HYPE does not have a Binance spot listing, Hyperliquid is measured using the Binance HYPEUSDT perpetual futures contract, with "Last Price" candles selected. A 1-week candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-week candle is published, the previous one is finalized). An asset for which no finalized 1-week candle is published for the specified week — including due to a delisting or suspension of its listed trading pair — will not be considered for resolution. No substitute pair or source will be used. This market will resolve once the specified week's candles are finalized. If any listed asset's candle is unfinalized at that time, this market will resolve according to the finalized candles published no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Binance differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the following trading pairs, with the chart settings on "1W" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT BNB: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT Dogecoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT Ethereum: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT Hyperliquid: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT Solana: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT XRP: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT Zcash: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT Please note that this market is about the percentage performance according to the Binance trading pairs listed above, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the crypto asset with the best percentage performance for the specified week among the listed assets. If all listed assets decline for the week, the asset with the smallest decline is the best performer. If two or more listed assets are exactly tied for the best percentage performance, this market will resolve according to the tied asset whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The percentage performance for each asset is the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its Binance 1-week candle beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date. Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding; Binance reports "CHANGE" to 2 decimal places. Because HYPE does not have a Binance spot listing, Hyperliquid is measured using the Binance HYPEUSDT perpetual futures contract, with "Last Price" candles selected. A 1-week candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-week candle is published, the previous one is finalized). An asset for which no finalized 1-week candle is published for the specified week — including due to a delisting or suspension of its listed trading pair — will not be considered for resolution. No substitute pair or source will be used. This market will resolve once the specified week's candles are finalized. If any listed asset's candle is unfinalized at that time, this market will resolve according to the finalized candles published no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Binance differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the following trading pairs, with the chart settings on "1W" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT BNB: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT Dogecoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT Ethereum: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT Hyperliquid: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT Solana: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT XRP: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT Zcash: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT Please note that this market is about the percentage performance according to the Binance trading pairs listed above, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than simple spot price expectations. While spot prices indicate current market value, this market aggregates informed predictions about which cryptocurrency will experience the largest percentage gain over a specific timeframe. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not immediately reflected in spot prices, such as anticipated news events, technological developments, or shifts in investor sentiment. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd and potential market movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each cryptocurrency’s potential performance. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that coin being the top performer. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, influences how efficiently prices respond to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the best performing cryptocurrency for the week of October 26 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the percentage change in price for each eligible cryptocurrency during that specific week. The platform will utilize publicly available data sources to identify the coin with the highest percentage increase, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Major news announcements regarding cryptocurrency regulations, security breaches affecting specific coins, or unexpected technological advancements could all impact investor sentiment. Furthermore, macroeconomic factors such as inflation data or interest rate decisions could influence the broader cryptocurrency market, leading to shifts in trading activity within this market. Unexpected volatility in any of the leading cryptocurrencies could also trigger substantial price movements.