TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 1:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the crypto asset with the best percentage performance for the specified week among the listed assets. If all listed assets decline for the week, the asset with the smallest decline is the best performer. If two or more listed assets are exactly tied for the best percentage performance, this market will resolve according to the tied asset whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The percentage performance for each asset is the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its Binance 1-week candle beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date. Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding; Binance reports "CHANGE" to 2 decimal places. Because HYPE does not have a Binance spot listing, Hyperliquid is measured using the Binance HYPEUSDT perpetual futures contract, with "Last Price" candles selected. A 1-week candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-week candle is published, the previous one is finalized). An asset for which no finalized 1-week candle is published for the specified week — including due to a delisting or suspension of its listed trading pair — will not be considered for resolution. No substitute pair or source will be used. This market will resolve once the specified week's candles are finalized. If any listed asset's candle is unfinalized at that time, this market will resolve according to the finalized candles published no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Binance differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the following trading pairs, with the chart settings on "1W" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT BNB: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT Dogecoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT Ethereum: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT Hyperliquid: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT Solana: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT XRP: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT Zcash: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT Please note that this market is about the percentage performance according to the Binance trading pairs listed above, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the crypto asset with the best percentage performance for the specified week among the listed assets. If all listed assets decline for the week, the asset with the smallest decline is the best performer. If two or more listed assets are exactly tied for the best percentage performance, this market will resolve according to the tied asset whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The percentage performance for each asset is the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its Binance 1-week candle beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date. Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding; Binance reports "CHANGE" to 2 decimal places. Because HYPE does not have a Binance spot listing, Hyperliquid is measured using the Binance HYPEUSDT perpetual futures contract, with "Last Price" candles selected. A 1-week candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-week candle is published, the previous one is finalized). An asset for which no finalized 1-week candle is published for the specified week — including due to a delisting or suspension of its listed trading pair — will not be considered for resolution. No substitute pair or source will be used. This market will resolve once the specified week's candles are finalized. If any listed asset's candle is unfinalized at that time, this market will resolve according to the finalized candles published no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Binance differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the following trading pairs, with the chart settings on "1W" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT BNB: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT Dogecoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT Ethereum: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT Hyperliquid: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT Solana: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT XRP: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT Zcash: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT Please note that this market is about the percentage performance according to the Binance trading pairs listed above, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect current valuations, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding which coin will experience the largest percentage gain within a specific timeframe. This provides a forward-looking assessment, incorporating a diverse range of opinions and potential catalysts. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and spot prices can highlight areas where the market anticipates significant shifts in value, potentially signaling undervalued or overvalued assets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific coin, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is entirely driven by supply and demand, representing the collective wisdom of the crowd participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the best performing coin for the week of October 12 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the percentage change in price for each eligible cryptocurrency during that specific week. The coin with the highest percentage increase will be considered the winner of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their shareholdings.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major news announcements regarding cryptocurrency regulations, technological advancements, or security breaches could all trigger price movements. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases, shifts in investor sentiment, and large-scale adoption announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, specific developments related to individual coins, such as protocol upgrades or partnerships, are likely to influence trading activity and shift the odds within this market as traders react to new information.