TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:21h:19m
$
This market will resolve according to the crypto asset with the best percentage performance for the specified week among the listed assets. If all listed assets decline for the week, the asset with the smallest decline is the best performer. If two or more listed assets are exactly tied for the best percentage performance, this market will resolve according to the tied asset whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The percentage performance for each asset is the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its Binance 1-week candle beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date. Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding; Binance reports "CHANGE" to 2 decimal places. Because HYPE does not have a Binance spot listing, Hyperliquid is measured using the Binance HYPEUSDT perpetual futures contract, with "Last Price" candles selected. A 1-week candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-week candle is published, the previous one is finalized). An asset for which no finalized 1-week candle is published for the specified week — including due to a delisting or suspension of its listed trading pair — will not be considered for resolution. No substitute pair or source will be used. This market will resolve once the specified week's candles are finalized. If any listed asset's candle is unfinalized at that time, this market will resolve according to the finalized candles published no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Binance differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the following trading pairs, with the chart settings on "1W" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT BNB: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT Dogecoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT Ethereum: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT Hyperliquid: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT Solana: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT XRP: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT Zcash: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT Please note that this market is about the percentage performance according to the Binance trading pairs listed above, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the crypto asset with the best percentage performance for the specified week among the listed assets. If all listed assets decline for the week, the asset with the smallest decline is the best performer. If two or more listed assets are exactly tied for the best percentage performance, this market will resolve according to the tied asset whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The percentage performance for each asset is the finalized "CHANGE" value displayed for its Binance 1-week candle beginning at 12:00 AM UTC on the specified date. Values will be used exactly as published, without rounding; Binance reports "CHANGE" to 2 decimal places. Because HYPE does not have a Binance spot listing, Hyperliquid is measured using the Binance HYPEUSDT perpetual futures contract, with "Last Price" candles selected. A 1-week candle must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next 1-week candle is published, the previous one is finalized). An asset for which no finalized 1-week candle is published for the specified week — including due to a delisting or suspension of its listed trading pair — will not be considered for resolution. No substitute pair or source will be used. This market will resolve once the specified week's candles are finalized. If any listed asset's candle is unfinalized at that time, this market will resolve according to the finalized candles published no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the end of the specified week. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Binance differing from other sources. This period may extend past the resolution deadline above. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the following trading pairs, with the chart settings on "1W" and "Candles" selected on the top bar: Bitcoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT BNB: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT Dogecoin: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT Ethereum: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT Hyperliquid: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT Solana: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT XRP: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT Zcash: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT Please note that this market is about the percentage performance according to the Binance trading pairs listed above, not according to any other sources, exchanges, or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate buying and selling pressure, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding which coin will deliver the highest returns over a specific timeframe. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not fully captured in spot prices, such as anticipated news events or shifts in investor sentiment. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd and potential market inefficiencies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each coin’s performance. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that coin being the best performer. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s liquidity, currently at $0, influences how efficiently prices adjust to new information. As traders exchange shares, the odds dynamically shift, providing a real-time assessment of market expectations for the week of November 2nd.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the best performing coin for the week of November 2nd is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the percentage change in price for each eligible cryptocurrency during that specified week. The market will then settle, reflecting the actual performance of the winning coin. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major news announcements regarding specific cryptocurrencies, such as partnerships, technological advancements, or regulatory changes, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases or shifts in global market conditions could also impact the perceived attractiveness of different coins. Furthermore, significant price movements in leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum often have a ripple effect across the entire market, potentially altering the odds in this market.