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405,232

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Bank of Korea decision in August?
predict

Bank of Korea decision in August?

Volume:
$267

25 bps hike

 - Predict

25 bps hike - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 11:51 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

25 bps hike

View
100%
50%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

No Change

View
31%
Yes 30.9¢No 69.1¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

50+ bps cut

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

25 bps cut

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

50+ bps hike

View
N/A
N/A
—
$29,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the Bank of Korea rate decision market dashboard displays real-time odds and price trends for the August meeting outcome, along with 24-hour volume of $18. This single-venue view shows how traders on Predict are positioning around potential rate changes, holding, or surprises from the central bank. The page updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment as the decision date approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking view. While analysts may publish detailed reports with specific predictions, traders adjust positions based on live information flows, sentiment, and risk appetite. This can lead to divergence, especially when market odds imply a higher or lower probability than consensus analyst views.

On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Predict, traders collectively set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probability for each possible rate decision outcome. The market price adjusts dynamically based on new information, trading volume of $267, and shifts in participant sentiment ahead of the August meeting. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures the aggregated expectations of Predict users about monetary policy moves.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final decision will be evaluated against official announcements from the central bank, at which point all positions are automatically settled according to the declared result.

Key signals include upcoming economic data releases, statements from central bank officials, shifts in global monetary policy, and domestic inflation or growth figures. Any unexpected policy hints, market reactions to related events, or changes in financial conditions could cause rapid re-pricing of odds in this market as traders adjust expectations.