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Bank of England decision in November?
limitless

Bank of England decision in November?

Sep 14, 2026, 8:07 AM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

50+ bps decrease

 - Limitless

50+ bps decrease - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:19h:56m

Bank of England decision in November?: 50+ bps decrease

1%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

50+ bps decrease

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 56m
Active
limitless

25 bps decrease

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 56m
Active
limitless

No change

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 56m
Active
limitless

25 bps increase

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 56m
Active
limitless

50+ bps increase

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 19h 56m
Active
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Limitless, the dashboard for the Bank of England decision tracks the implied probability of various outcomes for the November meeting, as expressed through trading activity. Currently, the most actively traded outcome is a 25 bps decrease, though the volume remains relatively low at 0. The dashboard also displays the price history of the market, allowing users to see how expectations have shifted over time. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently unknown, providing insight into recent market interest in this event.

Comparing the odds in this market to expectations derived from spot price forecasts and analyst predictions reveals how traders perceive the likelihood of different Bank of England actions. Currently, polls and analyst forecasts suggest a range of potential outcomes, but this market provides a unique perspective based on real money at stake. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and external forecasts can highlight areas where traders believe information is mispriced or where they have access to unique insights regarding the Bank of England decision.

On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bank of England decision. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of market participants regarding its probability. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome, and these prices dynamically adjust as new information becomes available and trading volume fluctuates. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities and profit from discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Bank of England’s official announcement regarding its November decision is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual change to the Bank of England’s base interest rate as announced by the Monetary Policy Committee. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome that corresponds to the official decision, and 0% for all other outcomes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in this market.

Several key signals and events could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation figures or employment reports, will likely influence expectations regarding the Bank of England’s stance on monetary policy. Statements from Bank of England officials, including speeches or interviews, could also provide clues about their thinking. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in global financial conditions could further impact the market, as these factors can affect the Bank of England’s assessment of the economic outlook and its subsequent decision.