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402,751

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5

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Atlantic Named Storms forecast for 2026?
polymarket

Atlantic Named Storms forecast for 2026?

Volume:
$3,788

9+

 - Polymarket

9+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 1:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

9+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

7 or fewer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market resolves based on Colorado State University (CSU)'s August 2026 Forecast which will be released on August 5, 2026 (https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html) and specifically CSU's forecast for total Named Storms for the full 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, as stated in the headline forecast table of the August 5, 2026 report. If the forecast is not released by August 10, 2026, this market resolves to "9+" which matches CSU's last forecast that was released on July 8, 2026. If CSU's forecast includes a fractional value, this market resolves to the nearest whole number (with .5 rounding up). If the forecast includes a range, this market resolves to the midpoint of that range, rounded down to the nearest whole number. A named storm is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 mph or greater (tropical storm intensity or higher), as classified by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml).

Polymarket

This market resolves based on Colorado State University (CSU)'s August 2026 Forecast which will be released on August 5, 2026 (https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html) and specifically CSU's forecast for total Named Storms for the full 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, as stated in the headline forecast table of the August 5, 2026 report. If the forecast is not released by August 10, 2026, this market resolves to "9+" which matches CSU's last forecast that was released on July 8, 2026. If CSU's forecast includes a fractional value, this market resolves to the nearest whole number (with .5 rounding up). If the forecast includes a range, this market resolves to the midpoint of that range, rounded down to the nearest whole number. A named storm is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 mph or greater (tropical storm intensity or higher), as classified by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the 2026 Atlantic storm market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the number of named storms expected in the Atlantic basin during 2026. It also shows 24-hour volume of $1,761 and total volume of $3,788, letting users monitor trader sentiment and liquidity for this market.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official storm count for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of named storms will settle the market based on authoritative meteorological sources.

Several factors could influence this market before it resolves on Aug 10, 2026. Seasonal climate reports, early indications of unusually warm ocean temperatures, and updates from meteorological agencies may shift trader sentiment. Political decisions affecting monitoring resources or disaster preparedness budgets might also play a role. Any significant hurricane model revisions or historical comparisons released closer to the season can cause rapid price changes. Keeping an eye on both scientific updates and policy moves will help anticipate swings in this market's odds.