TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 1:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the highest single-day global YouTube view count for Ariana Grande during the week of August 17 - 23, 2026. The highest daily view count refers to the largest total views recorded on any single day within the specified week. View counts from multiple days will not be combined. Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used. This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the available figures at either (i) the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or (ii) the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available for the specified week by the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F09gkdy4).
This market will resolve according to the highest single-day global YouTube view count for Ariana Grande during the week of August 17 - 23, 2026. The highest daily view count refers to the largest total views recorded on any single day within the specified week. View counts from multiple days will not be combined. Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used. This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the available figures at either (i) the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or (ii) the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available for the specified week by the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F09gkdy4).
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders place bets that directly set the market price through a zero-sum wager structure. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective bet volume and liquidity available. As new information emerges — for instance, a viral clip or chart announcement — trader positioning adjusts, moving the price toward the outcome they see as most likely.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on official YouTube analytics for the specified period, ensuring an objective and transparent close. Traders will see their positions settle based on the verified highest daily view count for Ariana Grande’s content during those seven days.
Key signals that could shift this market include major social media announcements, new music releases or teasers, high-profile performances, and any platform algorithm changes affecting view counts. Unexpected collaborations or controversies involving Ariana Grande may also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, competing viral videos could suppress her views, while a strong promotional push — such as a featured playlist or partnership — might boost them.