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$1,770,072,055

512,063

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Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
polymarket

What will Argentina's monthly inflation be?

Oct 15, 2026, 11:49 AM EST - Nov 12, 2026, 2:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$15,858
Volume 24h:
$75
88%
Liquidity:
$4,434
1%
Open interest:
$5,528N/A

1.6 to 1.8%

 - Polymarket

1.6 to 1.8% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 20d:01h:10m

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?

49%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 52¢ buys you 192 shares | Odds: 49% Total Payout: $192 | Net Profit: $92 Multiplier: 1.92x | ROI: 92% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 20 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.6 to 1.8%

Trade
49%
3%
Yes 52¢No 54¢
6¢
$508
$3,402
1%
551%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

1.9 to 2.1%

Trade
36%
6%
Yes 37¢No 66¢
3¢
$2,332
$10,807
0.19%
469%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

≤1.2%

Trade
5%
Yes 10¢No 99.3¢
9.3¢
$233
$198
0%
68%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

2.5 to 2.7%

Trade
4%
Yes 8.4¢No 99.5¢
7.9¢
$170
$254
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

2.8 to 3.0%

Trade
4%
Yes 7¢No 99.8¢
6.8¢
$231
$229
0%
55%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

1.3 to 1.5%

Trade
3%
Yes 17.5¢No 99¢
16.5¢
$349
$228
0%
28%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

2.2 to 2.4%

Trade
2%
5%
Yes 18.7¢No 97.6¢
16.3¢
$281
$526
4%
266%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
polymarket

3.1%+

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.9¢
0.9¢
$331
$214
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d 1h
active
Total markets: 8

Description

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in October 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026, currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0

Polymarket

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in October 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026, currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a range of expectations for Argentina's October 2026 inflation rate. It's important to note that these predictions are based on the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, and may differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While many analysts predict continued high inflation in Argentina, the specific range and probability assigned to each scenario can vary significantly. This market provides a real-time, aggregated view of what traders believe is most likely to happen, offering a potentially valuable signal compared to static analyst reports.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different inflation ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that range occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and up-to-date forecast. The current price reflects the collective belief of those trading on Polymarket regarding the most likely inflation outcome for October 2026 in Argentina.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official inflation data for October 2026 in Argentina is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official inflation rate released by Argentina’s national statistics agency. The specific inflation range that corresponds to the actual reported rate will determine which outcome wins. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified inflation figure.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major shifts in Argentina's economic policy, such as changes to monetary or fiscal policy, would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected political developments, including changes in government leadership or significant policy announcements, could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, global economic factors, such as fluctuations in commodity prices or changes in international financial conditions, could affect inflation expectations and therefore move this market. Any credible data releases regarding Argentina’s economic performance will also be closely watched.