TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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BETA
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Apple (AAPL) closes week of Sep 7 at ___?
polymarket

What will Apple's (AAPL) close be Sep 11?

Volume:
$1,832

$330-$335

 - Polymarket

$330-$335 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 4:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$330-$335

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$315-$320

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$295

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$295-$300

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$300-$305

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$340

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$310-$315

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$320-$325

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$305-$310

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$335-$340

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$325-$330

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Apple stock market tracks the current implied probability of various closing prices for Apple (AAPL) the week of September 7th. You’ll find a real-time view of the market’s price, the total volume traded—currently at $1,832—and the 24-hour volume, which is $1,771. This allows you to see how traders are collectively forecasting the stock’s performance and how quickly opinions are changing. The dashboard provides a dynamic representation of market sentiment regarding Apple’s future price.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Apple. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market represents a probability distribution of potential outcomes. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more quickly than analyst reports, reflecting real-time reactions to news and events. Comparing the implied probabilities from this market with the consensus estimates from financial analysts can reveal differences in expectations and potential market inefficiencies.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the closing price of Apple stock. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that particular outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how much volume is available at different price points, influencing the ease of trading and the stability of the price.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of Apple (AAPL) stock for the week of September 7th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official closing price reported by a major financial exchange. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It's important to monitor news and events related to Apple leading up to the resolution date, as these can significantly impact the final price.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 11, 2026. Major announcements from Apple regarding new products, earnings reports, or changes in leadership would likely cause substantial price fluctuations. Broader economic news, such as interest rate decisions or shifts in market sentiment, could also impact Apple's stock price and, consequently, this market. Unexpected geopolitical events or industry-specific disruptions could also play a role. Monitoring these factors and assessing their potential impact on Apple’s performance is crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.