TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

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40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 5?
polymarket

Will Apple close above its price on October 5?

Volume:
$3,438

$330

 - Polymarket

$330 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$330

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$320

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$325

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$335

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$340

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Apple stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above a certain price on October 5. You’ll find information on the current odds, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $3,275. The total volume traded on this market is $3,291. This provides a clear picture of how traders are assessing the likelihood of the outcome.

Currently, the prediction market suggests a high probability that Apple (AAPL) will close above the specified price on October 5. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often present a range of potential outcomes and rely on fundamental analysis. While analysts consider factors like earnings reports and market trends, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. It’s important to note that the market’s prediction is a real-time assessment, constantly updated as new information becomes available and sentiment shifts.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Apple (AAPL) stock on October 5 will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the outcome or not. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders should monitor the market leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential developments.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 5, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings announcements from Apple, significant shifts in overall market sentiment towards technology stocks, and any news related to Apple’s product launches or regulatory challenges. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also indirectly impact the stock price. Positive or negative news regarding Apple’s competitive landscape could also influence trading activity in this market.