TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on August 10?
polymarket

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on August 10?

Volume:
$4,364

$305

 - Polymarket

$305 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$305

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$300

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$315

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$310

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$320

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on August 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on August 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the AAPL August price market shows real-time odds, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume on Polymarket. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and liquidity for this specific prediction market, allowing users to monitor how the probability of Apple closing above the target level changes over time. With volume of $4,364 and 24-hour volume of $4,058, it reflects the current interest and activity surrounding this market.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it settles based on Apple’s official closing price for that trading day, as recorded by major financial data providers. Traders can track the final price on August 10 to see whether it meets the threshold defined in this market.

Between now and resolution, several signals could shift this market’s odds on Polymarket. Earnings reports, product announcements, broader market volatility, and macroeconomic data—such as interest rate decisions—can all impact Apple’s stock price and, consequently, trader expectations. Additionally, sector-wide news or geopolitical events that affect tech stocks may cause rapid swings in this market’s probability as traders adjust their positions.