TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$115

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 1:15 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
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24h
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predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T17:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T17:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $115, and the total volume traded to date, which is $115. This provides a clear view of market sentiment and activity surrounding the potential movement of Amazon’s stock price. The dashboard is updated continuously to reflect the latest trading action.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for Amazon. While analysts frequently publish price targets and ratings based on financial models, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their money where their mouths are. Discrepancies can arise from differing assumptions, risk tolerance, or access to information. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially incorporate a wider range of factors than typical analyst reports.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Amazon's stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon’s stock on October 30th, between 1:00 PM and 1:15 PM Eastern Time, will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The final price will be sourced from a reliable financial data provider and used to settle the market, ensuring a transparent and objective result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from Amazon, significant news regarding its key business segments (e.g., AWS, e-commerce), broader economic data releases impacting the tech sector, and any major announcements from competitors. Changes in analyst ratings or price targets could also influence trading activity. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in consumer spending patterns could also play a role in shaping market sentiment and driving price fluctuations.