TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$920

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 1:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T17:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T17:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down between 1:30PM and 1:45PM ET on October 29th. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $912. The total volume for this market is $920. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and see how much activity is occurring around this specific prediction.

Currently, it’s important to note that analysts’ predictions regarding short-term stock movements are often based on a variety of factors, including technical analysis and news events. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk based on their own assessments. While analyst forecasts can provide valuable insights, prediction market odds reflect real-time sentiment and can sometimes diverge from traditional expectations, offering a different perspective on the potential direction of the Amazon stock price.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Amazon stock will close up or down within the specified timeframe. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the probability that traders assign to each outcome. Higher demand for the 'up' contract, for example, will drive up its price, indicating a greater belief that the stock will increase in value. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon stock between 1:30PM and 1:45PM ET on October 29th will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a reputable financial source, ensuring transparency and accuracy in determining the final result of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Unexpected news regarding Amazon’s earnings, major product announcements, or shifts in overall market sentiment could all drive price movements. Broader economic indicators released prior to Oct 29, 2026, such as inflation data or consumer confidence reports, might also impact investor behavior and, consequently, the odds in this market. Any significant news event affecting the tech sector or retail industry could also play a role in shaping trader expectations.