TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$257

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$109
$257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T17:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T17:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, the price history reflecting how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $257, with $249 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to see real-time market sentiment and how it evolves leading up to the event. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of where traders are placing their bets on the direction of Amazon's stock price.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on financial models and company reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can quickly adapt to new information or unexpected events that analysts may not have fully accounted for. This difference can be valuable, offering a contrasting view on the likely outcome for the Amazon stock market.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Amazon stock will close up or down. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Amazon’s stock on October 27th, between 1:30 PM and 1:45 PM ET, is higher or lower than its opening price on the same day. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could influence investor sentiment towards Amazon. Unexpected news regarding Amazon’s earnings, product launches, or regulatory challenges would also likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader market trends, like a significant shift in the tech sector or overall investor risk appetite, could impact the Amazon stock market. Any unforeseen events affecting consumer spending or supply chains could also play a role.