TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Oct 5 at ___?
polymarket

How will Amazon close the week of Oct 5?

Volume:
$790

$260-$265

 - Polymarket

$260-$265 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 6:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$260-$265

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$255-$260

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$245-$250

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240-$245

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$235-$240

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$265-$270

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250-$255

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$230

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$230-$235

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$270-$275

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$275

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current probabilities of various closing price ranges for Amazon (AMZN) stock during the week of October 5th. You can view the implied probabilities for different outcomes, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $555. The total volume traded on this market is $790. This allows traders to see how sentiment is shifting and where the most activity is focused as the week progresses. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market participants' expectations.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a strong conviction about the likely closing price of Amazon stock. This differs from typical analyst forecasts, which often provide a range of potential outcomes with varying probabilities. While analysts might offer multiple scenarios, this market focuses on specific price bands, forcing traders to make a more definitive prediction. It's important to note that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of individuals with skin in the game, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional financial analysis. The current implied probabilities in this market provide a unique signal compared to standard analyst reports.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market accurately represents the prevailing sentiment regarding Amazon's stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the final day of trading during the week of October 5th. The market will determine which price range the closing price falls into, and shares will pay out accordingly. Traders should monitor official financial news sources for the official closing price to understand the final outcome of this market. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Unexpected earnings reports from Amazon, major announcements regarding new products or services, or shifts in overall market sentiment towards tech stocks could all cause substantial price movements. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation figures or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor confidence and affect the stock price. Any significant news related to Amazon's competitors or the broader retail sector could also play a role. Traders should closely monitor these events as they unfold to assess their potential impact on this market.