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Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 12?
polymarket

Will Amazon close above the price on October 12?

Volume:
$3,140

$255

 - Polymarket

$255 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$255

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$245

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$260

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$265

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Amazon closing above a certain price on October 12. You’ll find the odds reflecting the market’s belief, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. The 24-hour volume, representing the amount of trading activity, is also displayed, giving insight into how actively this market is being traded. Currently, the volume is $426.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability of Amazon closing above a certain price on October 12. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts may provide price targets, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential catalysts. It’s important to note that prediction market odds represent a probabilistic view, while analyst forecasts are typically presented as point estimates.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Amazon closing above the specified price on October 12. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of market sentiment. The current volume for this market is $3,140.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on October 12. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence the Amazon stock price market. Major company announcements, such as earnings reports or new product launches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment. Unexpected news events, such as geopolitical developments or shifts in consumer spending, could also move this market. Any significant news regarding Amazon’s competitors or the overall technology sector could also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory.