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Science and Technology
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on November 2?
polymarket

Will Amazon close above its price on November 2?

Volume:
$657

$215

 - Polymarket

$215 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 6:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$215

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5,438
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$235

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$225

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5,055
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on November 2, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on November 2, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Amazon (AMZN) closing above a certain price on November 2. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $250. The total volume traded in this market is $657. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the stock price is headed.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Amazon. While some analysts predict continued growth, this market incorporates a wider range of opinions and potential outcomes, weighted by the willingness of traders to put capital behind their beliefs. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on models and assumptions, whereas this market represents a collective intelligence view, constantly updated by traders reacting to news and events. The market's price reflects the aggregated judgment of participants, offering a unique signal.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Amazon will close above the target price. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market is highly liquid, allowing for relatively easy entry and exit, and the price movements provide a dynamic signal of market sentiment regarding Amazon’s future performance.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on November 2 will be used to determine whether the market settles in the affirmative or negative. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the final result and claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the outcome.

Several factors could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major catalysts include earnings reports from Amazon, any significant news regarding its cloud computing business (AWS), changes in overall market sentiment towards tech stocks, and broader economic indicators like inflation and interest rates. Unexpected announcements about new products or services, or any regulatory developments impacting Amazon, could also cause substantial price swings. Positive or negative news relating to consumer spending and retail trends will likely influence trader behavior in this market.