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Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?
polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?

Volume:
$192

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?

 - Polymarket

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19? - Polymarket

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Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 4:50 PM EST

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Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 19?

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on October 19, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on October 19, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Airbnb stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down on October 19. You'll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $192. The total volume traded on this market is $192. This provides a clear visualization of market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price movement of Airbnb stock.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for Airbnb. While some analysts predict moderate growth, this market shows a more nuanced view, incorporating the collective wisdom of traders. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on models and assumptions, while this market represents real money at stake, potentially offering a more accurate signal of what traders believe will happen with Airbnb stock. This comparison highlights the potential value of prediction markets as an alternative source of information.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Airbnb stock will be up or down on October 19. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the 'Up' outcome, with the 'Down' outcome being the inverse. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning the odds can shift rapidly in response to new information or changing sentiment. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for Airbnb’s stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Airbnb stock on October 19 will determine whether the 'Up' or 'Down' outcome is triggered. If the closing price is higher than the opening price on that day, the 'Up' outcome will be considered correct. Conversely, if the closing price is lower, the 'Down' outcome will be considered correct. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Key economic data releases, such as inflation reports or consumer confidence indices, could influence investor sentiment towards growth stocks like Airbnb. Company-specific news, including earnings reports, changes in guidance, or major partnership announcements, would also be impactful. Unexpected geopolitical events or broader market corrections could also drive shifts in trading activity and the price of shares in this market. Any news impacting the travel industry or the housing market could also affect the outcome.