TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.2b

24H VOL:

$139,262,101

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,798,566,680

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,770,072,055

512,063

Markets across

38,451

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,850

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Science and Technology
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
polymarket

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Jul 29, 2026, 5:54 PM EST - Jan 31, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$118,211
Volume 24h:
$792
79%
Liquidity:
$18,682
4%
Open interest:
$11,159N/A

Man I Need – Olivia Dean

 - Polymarket

Man I Need – Olivia Dean - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 31, 2027

Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

46%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 46.7¢ buys you 214 shares | Odds: 46% Total Payout: $214 | Net Profit: $114 Multiplier: 2.14x | ROI: 114% High Projected APY: 5,514% 68 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Man I Need – Olivia Dean

Trade
46%
3%
Yes 46.7¢No 55.3¢
2¢
$2,396
$66,622
0.94%
29%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Earrings – Malcom Todd

Trade
42%
1%
Yes 44¢No 72¢
16¢
$1,377
$45,959
0.37%
21%
N/A
3mo 1w 3d
active
polymarket

Risk It All – Bruno Mars

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,407
$758
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,360
$737
0%
9%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,290
$659
0%
10%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,337
$506
0%
25%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,393
$483
0%
0.33%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Choosin Texas – Ella Langley

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,344
$406
0%
0%
N/A
3mo 1w 3d
active
polymarket

Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,375
$353
0%
3%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,421
$379
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Billie Jean – Michael Jackson

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,361
$676
0%
6%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Swim – BTS

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,285
$385
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,336
$287
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 13

Description

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Polymarket

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the US Spotify song market tracks the current odds of different songs being the number two song in the US for 2026, as determined by Spotify streaming data. You can view the price history of each potential outcome, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $810. The total volume traded in this market is $118,211, indicating significant interest in predicting the year's musical landscape. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of each song’s success.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting song popularity is often based on subjective factors and early trends. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket offers a data-driven perspective on which songs are most likely to achieve significant streaming numbers. If music industry analysts were to offer probabilities for each song being the #2 song in the US for 2026, it would be interesting to see how their assessments align with the market’s implied probabilities. It’s a different approach to forecasting than relying solely on expert opinion.

This market resolves around Feb 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the final Spotify year-end charts are published and the song ranking as #2 in the US for 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official streaming data released by Spotify, which will determine which song achieved the second-highest number of streams within the United States during the calendar year. The market will then settle to reflect the song that meets this criterion, providing a clear and objective outcome for all traders.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major album releases from popular artists, viral trends on social media platforms like TikTok, and significant media coverage of emerging artists could all shift the odds. Unexpected collaborations, chart performance of singles leading up to the end of the year, and even changes in Spotify’s algorithms could also influence trading activity. Any news that alters perceptions of a song's potential for sustained streaming success is likely to move this market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.