TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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1win FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket

1win FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Volume:
$297,653

$45M

 - Polymarket

$45M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 6:26 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$45M

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$16,303
$49,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
Yes
polymarket

$30M

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
Yes
polymarket

$70M

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
polymarket

$100M

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$12,451
$40,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
polymarket

$150M

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$9,598
$32,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1mo 4w
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 1win's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 1win (https://x.com/1winToken) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 1win's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 1win (https://x.com/1winToken) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the 1win FDV market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $202,292 and the total volume is $297,653. This allows traders to monitor the market's activity and understand how sentiment is shifting regarding whether the 1win Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) will be above a certain threshold one day after launch. The dashboard provides a visual representation of the market's dynamics, helping participants make informed decisions.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability that the 1win FDV will exceed the specified threshold one day after launch. This contrasts with initial expectations based on pre-launch analysis and public statements, which were more uncertain. The odds reflect a collective assessment of various factors, including project fundamentals, market conditions, and investor appetite. The market’s price effectively represents a weighted average of individual beliefs, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional polls or analyst predictions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of the 1win FDV being above the target value one day after launch. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on a publicly available and verifiable snapshot of the 1win FDV one day after its launch. The platform will rely on trusted sources to determine whether the FDV has surpassed the specified level. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to understand the available data and potential implications for this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. A major announcement regarding partnerships or technological advancements related to 1win could shift sentiment. Unexpected regulatory developments or changes in the broader cryptocurrency market could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any news concerning the initial trading volume or price action of the 1win token following its launch will be closely watched. Positive developments are likely to increase demand for shares in this market, while negative news could lead to increased selling pressure.