TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?
polymarket

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?

Volume:
$4,657

TikTok Pro - Events

 - Polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 6:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Atom - Movie Tickets & Times

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Netflix Game Controller

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Capital One Mobile

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the top free US app market, along with 24-hour volume of $3,098. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around the likelihood of a specific app claiming the top free spot on the specified date. The interface updates in real time, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it will be settled based on the official Apple App Store rankings for that day, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winner.

Key signals include major marketing campaigns, app updates or bugs affecting user retention, and competitor releases close to the resolution date. Media coverage highlighting a specific app’s popularity or negative press about rivals can also shift trader sentiment. Any surprise changes in ranking during the final days before Aug 7, 2026 are likely to cause rapid price adjustments on this market.