TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
polymarket

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Volume:
$6,179

TikTok Pro - Events

 - Polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 2:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Capital One Mobile

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ParentSquare

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the top free US app market, along with 24-hour volume of $2,405. It shows how traders are positioning around which app will lead the charts on the specified date. The interface updates in real time, letting users monitor shifts in sentiment and betting patterns as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the actual ranking of free apps in the US Apple App Store will be checked against the market’s predictions. Only the app occupying the top position at the exact close of the market day determines the result.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 14, 2026. Major app updates, high-profile marketing campaigns, or viral social media moments for any contender can drive sudden price swings. Competitor setbacks, platform-specific changes to app rankings, or even seasonal download trends in the days leading up to the resolution date may also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their bets.