TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Zyn's point-of-sale growth for August 2026, focusing on whether sales metrics meet or exceed various thresholds compared to the same month last year. The outcome depends on reported data from Carbon Arc, reflecting consumer purchasing trends through a comprehensive receipt-scanning panel.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Zyn's point-of-sale growth in August 2026, each with a specific percentage benchmark. All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index measures year-over-year change, where a value of 100 indicates equal sales to the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Data is collected through Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel, capturing in-store and online purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the previous year. The panel updates daily, providing a real-time reflection of sales performance. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations through its odds, which can be contrasted with analyst forecasts from research firms. While analysts may issue detailed reports with specific growth targets, the market price captures a broader, real-time consensus based on available data, sentiment, and speculative positioning. Comparing the two offers a view of whether traders are more optimistic or cautious than institutional forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the sales growth figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official sales data released by the company or a recognized industry source, closing all positions according to the verified percentage increase or decline in Zyn point-of-sale sales for August.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including early sales indicators, media coverage of consumer trends, regulatory updates affecting retail channels, and competitive product launches. Any data hinting at strong or weak consumer demand, inventory levels, or promotional activity may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds toward either higher or lower growth expectations.