TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track Zscaler's ability to attract and retain high-value customers in its fiscal year 2026. Each outcome depends on whether the company reports a specific number of customers spending at least $1 million annually. The resolution hinges on official financial disclosures at the end of the fiscal year.
The markets resolve based on the number of Zscaler, Inc. customers with an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of at least $1 million reported in the company's full fiscal year 2026 or Q4 earnings release. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: above 760, above 770, above 780, above 790, or above 800 customers. If the reported figure meets or exceeds the threshold specified in a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same reporting source and timeframe, ensuring consistency in evaluation. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Zscaler, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of near-term conditions. While analysts may issue quarterly or annual outlooks, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust positions based on real-time signals, earnings reports, product launches, and competitive moves. This can lead to shorter-term volatility not captured in longer-term analyst projections, though both sources may converge around major corporate announcements or market shifts.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it settles based on whether Zscaler’s publicly disclosed customer base includes enough high-value clients to meet the $1 million annual recurring revenue threshold for its fiscal year ending in 2026. No manual intervention or special announcements are required — the data must appear in standard financial disclosures or verified press materials.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Jan 1, 2027. Key catalysts include Zscaler’s quarterly earnings reports, particularly any mentions of large enterprise contract wins, customer acquisition metrics, or ARR growth rates. Product announcements, partnerships, or competitive pressures — especially from other cybersecurity vendors — may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors affecting enterprise IT spending could impact the outlook for high-ARR customers, creating volatility in pricing and volume throughout the year.