TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T07:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T07:30:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on fundamental research and expert opinions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe will happen. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than analyst reports, potentially offering a more real-time assessment of future outcomes.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price will increase, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating assessment of expectations surrounding Zhipu AI.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price is up or down during the specified timeframe of October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET. The final price will be determined by publicly available data sources and will be assessed against established financial benchmarks. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on verifiable information.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor confidence could also play a role. Any significant news flow related to Zhipu AI’s technology, adoption rate, or future prospects has the potential to move this market before Oct 28, 2026.