TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$223

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 11:45 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$8
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T03:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T03:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You'll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, giving you a sense of market sentiment. Finally, the dashboard displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $223, and the total overall volume, which is $223. This provides insight into how actively this market is being traded.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict offers a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI’s performance. While analysts often provide point estimates or qualitative assessments, this market aggregates a diverse range of opinions into a probabilistic forecast. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives that aren’t always reflected in standard analyst reports. This allows for a dynamic comparison of expectations surrounding Zhipu AI’s future trajectory.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations regarding Zhipu AI’s future.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price increases or decreases during the specified timeframe of October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET. The final price will be verified against credible public sources, and the market will settle accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major news announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Unexpected regulatory changes impacting the AI industry in China could also have a substantial effect. Broader market sentiment towards AI stocks and technological advancements in competing AI models are additional factors to watch. Any significant shift in these areas could lead to increased trading volume and a change in the perceived probability of Zhipu AI’s success.