TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that analyst forecasts regarding Zhipu AI’s performance are varied. Some predict continued rapid growth, while others express concerns about increased competition and regulatory hurdles. These perspectives often rely on qualitative assessments and expert opinions. This market, however, aggregates the collective wisdom of many traders, translating their beliefs into quantifiable probabilities. While analyst opinions can offer valuable insights, the dynamic pricing in this market provides a real-time assessment of expectations, potentially revealing divergences from traditional forecasts.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating a higher probability of an upward trend for Zhipu AI, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price experiences a net upward or downward trend during the specified 11PM-11:15PM ET timeframe on October 25th. The final price movement will be assessed against reliable financial data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected news related to the broader AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, shifts in overall market sentiment towards technology stocks or China’s economic outlook could play a role. Finally, any significant media coverage or analyst reports focused on Zhipu AI’s prospects could drive changes in the odds leading up to Oct 26, 2026.